New Issue: Retiro Mortgage Securities
DAC
Primary Credit Analyst:
Fabio Alderotti, Madrid + 34 91 788 7214; fabio[email protected]
Secondary Contact:
Giuseppina Martelli, Milan + 390272111274; giuseppina.mar[email protected]
Table Of Contents
Overview
The Credit Story
Collateral And Originator
Servicing
Credit Analysis And Assumptions
Macroeconomic And Sector Outlook
Transaction Summary
Counterparty Risk
Sovereign Risk
Surveillance
Appendix
Related Criteria
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Table Of Contents (cont.)
Related Research
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Ratings Detail
Ratings
Class Rating*
Class
balance
(mil. €)
Credit
enhancement
(%)§ Index
Margin
(%)
Additional
note
payment
(%)†
Couponcap
(%)§§
Additional
note
payment
date
Legal final
maturity
A1 BBB- (sf) 260 67.7 Three-month
EURIBOR
2.00 2.00 5.00 April 30, 2024 July 30,
2075
A2 NR 77 N/A Three-month
EURIBOR
2.00 2.00 5.00 April 30, 2024 July 30,
2075
B NR 34 N/A Three-month
EURIBOR
3.00 3.00 6.00 April 30, 2024 July 30,
2075
C NR 15 N/A Three-month
EURIBOR
4.00 4.00 8.00 April 30, 2024 July 30,
2075
D1 NR 10 N/A Three-month
EURIBOR
5.00 N/A N/A N/A July 30,
2075
D2 NR 10 N/A Three-month
EURIBOR
6.00 N/A N/A N/A July 30,
2075
D3 NR 10 N/A Three-month
EURIBOR
7.00 N/A N/A N/A July 30,
2075
E NR 54 N/A Variable rate N/A N/A N/A N/A July 30,
2075
*Our rating addresses timely receipt of interest and ultimate repayment of principal on the class A1 notes. §This is the initial credit support
based on total gross recoveries from the servicer's business plan-class balance/total gross recoveries from the servicer's business plan, plus the
reserve fund. †Additional note payments are paid from the additional note payment date and are not rated. §§The coupon cap applies after 60
months from the closing date and is a cap on the all-inclusive interest rate of the notes.
NR--Not rated. N/A--Not applicable.
Overview
S&P Global Ratings has assigned its 'BBB- (sf)' credit rating to Retiro Mortgage Securities DAC's class A1 notes. At
closing, the issuer also issued class A2, B, C, D1, D2, D3, and E notes that S&P Global Ratings has not rated.
Retiro Mortgage Securities is a Spanish nonperforming (NPL) and real-estate-owned properties (REO) transaction
that securitizes a portfolio of loans totaling approximately €678 million in current balance (with a valuation amount
of approximately €344 million), and a portfolio of REO with a total valuation of approximately €396 million. The
collateral comprises residential properties (including annexes), commercial properties (including 0.8% classified as
other), and land (80.7%, 10.6%, and 8.7%, respectively).
Oaktree Capital Management, through this structure (see "Transaction Structure"), acquired the portfolio at various
stages from different Spanish originators between 2015 and 2017. As of this report's publication date, the loans are
owned by Irish entities called mortgage lenders, while the REO assets are owned by Spanish property companies
(propcos). The REOs are properties that the propcos have acquired through auctions after the foreclosure process
and will be sold or rented in the open market. We have analyzed both the loans and REO assets using our global
framework for assessing securitizations of nonperforming loans and our rating to principles criteria (see "Related
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Criteria").
The total portfolio is split in four subpools, called Wind, Tag, Normandia, and Tambo. The first three subpools' loans
and REO properties are serviced by RTA Management Gestion Integral de Activos, S.L. and Redwood Real Estate
Spain S.L.U., respectively. Tambo's loans and REO properties are serviced by Vicasset Holdings LLC. Vicasset
Holdings LLC also services a part of the small percentage of commercial assets in the Tag portfolio. Following the
review of the servicing process, we believe they can perform their functions in the transaction. There are also two
master servicers in the transaction, Redwood MS Ltd. and Vicasset Holdings LLC, both affiliates of the Oaktree
group.
Our rating on the class A1 notes addresses the timely payment of interest and the ultimate payment of principal.
The timely payment of interest on these notes is supported by the liquidity reserve fund, which was fully funded at
closing to its required level of 5% of the class A1 and A2 notes' balance.
At closing, the issuer used the issuance proceeds to advance the issuer-mortgage lender loan note advances to the
mortgage lenders, pay initial expense fees, and fund the liquidity reserves. We consider the issuer to be bankruptcy
remote under our legal criteria.
The transaction's structure is complex. The issuer is an Irish entity and, among other types of security, has the
benefit of a pledge in all the bank accounts in the name of the mortgage lenders and the propcos, and it is entitled to
receive these collections. The issuer also has a pledge over the shares of each of the mortgage lenders and a pledge
over one of the propco's share (Claysburg S.L.U.). We have conducted our legal analysis on the whole structure
according to our legal criteria.
Under our operational risk criteria, we have considered both the servicers and the master servicers as performance
key transaction parties. The transaction is capped at 'A' under this framework.
According to the transaction documents, the issuer can invest in an instrument with a maturity not exceeding the
notes' immediate payment date that has a short-term rating of at least 'A-2' or a long-term rating of at least 'BBB'.
Under our global investment criteria, the transaction is therefore capped at 'A-'.
There are no rating constraints in the transaction under our counterparty criteria and our structured finance
sovereign risk criteria.
The Credit Story
The Credit Story
Strengths Concerns and mitigating factors
We received two business plans from the master
servicers, one for the Wind and Tag subpools
and one for the Normandia and Tambo
subpools. The business plans are very detailed,
in terms of costs, workout strategies, and cash
flow, among other factors. We have taken them
into account in our analysis.
This is a nonperforming transaction, making the recoveries heavily dependent on the servicers'
business plans and execution. We have analyzed the business plans and applied adjustments
using our ratings to principles criteria. The pool is mainly residential; however, it has exposure
to nonresidential assets, such as commercial assets, including warehouses, shops, and land. We
associate these asset types with lower recoveries compared to residential assets, and we have
stressed them accordingly in our analysis.
The liquidity reserve fund was fully funded at
closing to meet revenue shortfalls for the class
A1 and A2 notes. The liquidity reserve fund can
also be used to pay senior fees.
The servicers became active in the Spanish servicing market between 2015 and 2018. They are
relatively small compared to the main players in this market, though the senior management
has many years of experience in the market. To mitigate this risk, our operational risk analysis
caps the ratings on the notes at 'A'. This is mainly driven by the high severity risk, given the
type of assets, and the high disruption risk, which is determined by the servicers' size and years
in operation.
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The Credit Story (cont.)
Strengths Concerns and mitigating factors
The interest rate cap minimizes the exposure to
liquidity risks in a rising interest rate
environment.
The servicers provided all historical property sales data on the four subpools, which, although
complete, we consider limited. We have taken this into account when calibrating our
market-value decline assumptions.
The capital structure is sequential for the
application of principal proceeds. Credit
enhancement can therefore build up over time
for the class A1 rated notes.
Claysburg S.L.U., one of the propcos, is part of a value-added tax (VAT) group, which Redwood
Real Estate Spain S.L.U., the servicer, is also part of. There is a risk that Claysburg could
become jointly and severally liable for other group companies' unpaid VAT obligations. We
have considered this risk in our cash flow analysis.
RTA and Redwood Real Estate Spain S.L.U. can terminate the servicer agreements before April
2024, with a 180 days' notice and without a new servicer being appointed. If a new servicer is
not found over this period, the master servicers will take up the servicing obligations.
Additionally, RTA and Redwood Real Estate Spain S.L.U. can terminate the servicing
agreement after April 2024 with a notice of 120 days without a new servicer being appointed.
These two situations increase the risk of disruption in the transaction. However, based on the
average time to transfer an NPL portfolio from one servicer to another in the Spanish market
(around two months), we consider the risk to be minimal. We will surveil the transaction and
monitor any changes to the servicing agreements.
While the mortgage lenders provide certain representations and warranties on the assets, we
consider the overall package of representations and warranties provided, along with the
mortgage lender's obligations in case of a breach, to be weaker than what we typically see in
transactions backed by performing collateral. Also, the indemnity that the retention holder
would need to pay if there is a breach is capped and can only be requested for a limited time
after closing. That said, the type of indemnity is overall similar to other NPL transactions.
Additionally, in our view, the level of stresses we have applied to the business plan mitigate a
weak representation and warranties package in the transaction.
Most of the audit report fields have been checked against the servicer's own system. However,
as material fields like the original valuation amount and the original valuation date have been
checked against external appraisal reports and showed a limited amount of errors, we have not
increased our stresses in our credit analysis.
RTA's fees are based on an hourly rate. We have compared the expected fee against the
previous year's actual fee and sized this risk in our cash flow analysis increasing the RTA fee.
Wind and Tag also have a cap in place.
COVID-19: Our credit and cash flow analysis and related assumptions consider the
transaction's ability to withstand the potential repercussions of the coronavirus outbreak,
namely, less recoveries, longer recovery timing, and additional liquidity stresses. Considering
these factors, we believe that the available credit enhancement is commensurate with the
ratings assigned. As the situation evolves, and as part of our surveillance activity, we will
consider whether our assumptions will still be relevant, and will update them as appropriate.
Collateral And Originator
The pool was originated by different Spanish banks, although Sabadell S.A. originated most of the loans (see chart 2).
Oaktree acquired the Wind, Tag, and Tambo portfolios in August 2015, October 2016, and December 2017,
respectively. Then it acquired Normandia in three tranches between June 2017 and December 2017, with the biggest
tranche in June 2017.
We received loan-level data as of Nov. 30, 2020. We also received two business plans, one for Wind and Tag, and one
for Normandia and Tambo.
Table 1
Collateral Key Features
Pool cut-off date Nov. 30, 2020
Jurisdiction Spain
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Table 1
Collateral Key Features (cont.)
Principal outstanding of the pool (€) 678,395,580 (including 47 million of performing loans)
Total underwritten valuation of the pool (€) 740,516,439 (including 396,186,250 of REOs)
Number of loans 3,634
Number of properties 9,480
Number of REOs 4,719
Percentage of each subpool based on the underwritten
valuation
Wind (32.26%); Tag (15.35%); Normandia (47.28%); Tambo (5.11%)
Borrower type Individual 33.1%; commercial 66.9% (commercial borrowers are concentrated in
Normandia and Tambo)
Property purpose Residential, including annexes (80.7%); commercial, including 0.8% "other" (10.6%);
land (8.7%);
Rented properties or on market for rent 4.9% of the underwritten valuation of the total portfolio
Top three regional concentration Comunidad Valenciana (27.1%); Cataluña (26.3%); Madrid (14.5%)
Asset description
The portfolio consists of nonperforming loans secured over residential properties, commercial properties, land, and
REO properties in Spain.
Chart 1 Chart 2
The loans defaulted mainly between 2011 and 2013 during the global financial crisis.
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Chart 3
Although the pool is granular, there are concentrations in tourist areas that have high population density, like
Comunidad Valenciana and Cataluña. Demand in these regions dropped over the past few months during the
pandemic, particularly from foreign investors due to the limitations of the lockdowns. We have considered this when
calibrating our market-value decline assumptions.
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Chart 4
Most of the loans are in the judicial phases, while approximately 31% of the REO properties are already in the market
to be sold.
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Chart 5 Chart 6
We received historical sales information from the servicers as of the cut-off date of the pool. When looking at this
information, we noticed that the residential portion, which is the bigger part of the portfolio, has been sold with a
slightly discounted rate, in part driven by the pandemic. When looking at the total historical sales data, the gross sales
are about 94% of the gross indexed underwritten valuation. We have accounted for this in our credit analysis.
Table 2
Historical Sales Data Information
Properties type Number of properties sold Gross sale/gross indexed underwritten valuation (%)
Office, retail, commercial 51 109.52
Land 197 104.51
Residential, including garage 1,510 90.65
Industrial warehouse 36 91.84
Grand total 1,794 93.91
Servicing
Table 3
Servicers Of The Portfolio
Subpool Loan servicer REO servicer Master servicer
Wind RTA Management Gestion Integral de Activos S.L. Redwood Real Estate Spain S.L.U. Redwood MS Ltd.
Tag* RTA Management Gestion Integral de Activos S.L. Redwood Real Estate Spain S.L.U. Redwood MS Ltd.
Normandia RTA Management Gestion Integral de Activos S.L. Redwood Real Estate Spain S.L.U. Vicasset Holdings LLC
Tambo Vicasset Holdings LLC Vicasset Holdings LLC N/A
*Tag commercial real estate asset are serviced by Vicasset Holdings LLC. N/A--Not applicable.
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Strategies and business plans
The servicer's effectiveness and liquidation strategies are more important for NPLs than for traditional transactions.
This is because most NPLs require more intensive efforts and specialized workout expertise, channels, and tools to
recover the economic value of the assets within the shortest practicable time frame.
The master servicers prepared the business plans. The servicers will conduct the day-to-day servicing of the portfolio
and implement the business plans. All the servicers have policies, mandates, and escalation processes in place for
day-to-day decision-making, depending on the size and the complexity of the asset. The primary objective of the
servicing plan is to maximize the recoveries using different strategies, like amicable solutions, foreclosure, or
bankruptcy process.
Amicable solutions may include deed in lieu, discounted payoff, or power of attorney. In Wind and Tag for discounted
payoffs, the servicer assumes a 90% recovery based on the lower of 125% of the loan's current balance and the
property's net value. However, the servicers always start foreclosure proceedings in parallel with amicable solutions in
case there are issues or delays with the amicable solutions. In Wind and Tag, about 50% of €77 million of the historical
underwritten valuations were achieved through an amicable solution, while in Normandia and Tambo, it was about
57% of €89 million. For the Normanida and Tambo loans, the servicers leverage their previous experience and decide
on a case-by-case basis how to proceed for a specific asset.
For the REO assets, which are owned by the propco, the servicers consider additional costs like capital expenditures
(capex) or operational expenditures (opex) to try to maximize the recovery once the assets are sold in the open
market.
Experience and performance data
We held meetings with the servicers before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.
In 2018, RTA Management Gestion Integral de Activos S.L. and Redwood Real Estate Spain S.L.U. created a new
platform and began managing the Wind and Tag assets. Therefore, the historical data provided to us refers only to
these portfolios. These two servicers started to service the Normandia subpool in January 2020. Vicasset, which was
established in Spain in April 2015, services the Tambo subpool. Similar to Wind and Tag, we have limited historical
performance data for the Normandia and Tambo subpool. That said, the servicers' senior management have many
years of experience in the Spanish servicing market. Before the dates above, the assets were serviced by other Spanish
servicers. We have received detailed valuation analyses carried out before Oaktree's acquisition of the portfolios,
which were done through drive-by, desktop, on site, or automated valuation model (AVM). We took this additional
information into account.
During the 2020 lockdown (between March and June), the servicers closed 222 amicable resolutions, closed the
repossession of 46 properties, advanced the payments for auctions, and started workouts on properties, where
possible. As a result, the effect of COVID-19 has been a short delay in recoveries and only a minimal discount on the
properties' value. We reviewed RTAManagement Gestion Integral de Activos S.L.'s, Redwood Real Estate Spain
S.L.U.'s, and Vicasset's servicing processes, and we believe they can perform their functions in the transaction.
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Servicing agreement risk
RTA and Redwood Real Estate Spain S.L.U. can terminate the servicer agreements before April 2024, with 180 days'
notice and without a new servicer being appointed. If a new servicer is not found over this period, the master servicers
will take up the servicing obligations. Additionally, RTA and Redwood Real Estate Spain S.L.U. can terminate the
servicing agreement after April 2024 with a notice of 120 days and without a new servicer being appointed.
These two situations increase the risk of disruption in the transaction. However, based on the average time to transfer
an NPL portfolio from a one servicer to another in the Spanish market (around two months), we consider the risk to be
minimal. We will surveil the transaction and monitor any changes to the servicing agreements.
We have considered all the servicers and the master servicers as performance key transaction parties. Our operational
risk criteria cap our rating on the notes at 'A'. This is mainly driven by the high severity risk, given the type of assets,
and the high disruption risk, which is determined by the servicers' size and years in operation.
Credit Analysis And Assumptions
According to our NPL criteria, the key credit risks for these transactions is the higher sensitivity to uncertainty in the
amounts and timing of recoveries during the post-default workout process. We have therefore split our credit analysis
in two components: (i) an analysis of the market-value decline that the securitized pool can suffer in different rating
environments, and (ii) an analysis based on the time to recover the defaulted asset.
Given the various asset characteristics and complexity of the portfolio, directly applying our global RMBS criteria or
our European CMBS criteria in our analysis was not appropriate. We have instead followed our rating to principles
process, which considers the historical recovery rates, the servicers' strategy, and the recovery stage of the defaulted
assets.
Our starting point is the business plans provided by the master servicers. The stresses we have applied based on the
business plans are explained below.
Market-value decline analysis (residential assets)
We have applied our ratings to principles criteria and our global RMBS criteria to derive our market-value decline for
the residential portion of the pool (see "Related Criteria"). We received two business plans and historical sales for the
overall portfolio broken down by subpool.
The business plan for Wind and Tag uses a statistical approach with a force-sale discount that is constantly updated
based on recent information. The cost assumptions for Wind and Tag consider litigation cost, taxes, capital gains,
capex, and maintenance cost, among others.
The business plan for Normandia and Tambo, on the other hand, is borrower-based given that all the borrowers in
Normandia and Tambo are commercial, and some of the more complex and bigger assets, like multifamily properties
in the coastal area, are included in the Normandia subpool. The assumptions in the business plan are not standardized
as in Wind and Tag, because they are established property by property, and sizing costs and timing are both tailored to
the asset. The costs of consensual negotiations and insolvency proceedings are at the borrower level, too.
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The business plans also consider the house price index and consumer price index (CPI), although we have not given
credit to them in our analysis. Officially protected housing properties (Vivienda de Protección Oficial; VPO) and
vulnerable borrowers are limited in the portfolio (2.9% and 1.5%, respectively) and have been considered in the
business plans.
When calibrating our market-value declines, we based our analysis on the historical sales and recoveries provided by
the servicers. We have considered the limited historical information in our analysis and the fact that compared to the
business plan's indexed underwritten valuations, the gross sale proceeds of residential and some industrial and
warehouse properties are lower. However, we compared the original (indexed in our model) valuations provided to us
by the servicers against the business plan's underwritten indexed valuation, and the latter are more conservative. Our
analysis also considers any over- or undervaluation of the properties.
The starting point of our analysis of the market-value declines are those in our global RMBS criteria. To mitigate the
risk of limited historical information, and the fact that the portfolio comprises distressed properties with some of the
simple assets already solved, we have increased our fixed market-value declines from 'AAA' to 'BB' for all four
subpools. We have then applied our forced-sale discount (as opposed to the one used by the servicers) to the pool in
line with the global RMBS criteria. The results of this adjustment on the Retiro Mortgage Securities pool are shown in
the table below.
Table 3
Residential MVD Of The Retiro Mortgage Securities Pool
Rating level Fixed MVD (%) FSD (%) Final MVD (%)
AAA 46 10 51
AA 41 11 47
A 31 12 39
BBB 25 13 35
BB 20 14 31
B 15 15 28
MVD--Market-value decline. FSD--Forced-sale discount.
The pool includes about €47 million of performing residential loans. The servicer assumed that €7 million will default
in the business plans. Our analysis assumes that an additional €23 million will default given the performance
information, the low payment rates, and the current macroeconomic environment due to the pandemic. We have
applied our market-value declines as shown in the table above, assuming they will be recovered in 42 months
according to our global RMBS criteria. For the remaining loans, we have given credit in line with the business plan (this
accounts for about 2% of the current balance of the loans).
Market-value decline analysis (nonresidential assets)
We have applied our ratings to principles criteria and our European CMBS criteria to derive our market-value declines
for the nonresidential portion of the pool.
The pool has limited exposure to this asset type and limited historical information. To mitigate this exposure, we have
applied a 30% haircut to the underwritten valuations provided by the servicers in the business plan. In our view this
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haircut is conservative enough because these assets are not the typical CMBS loans; rather, it is a diversified pool of
retail spaces, offices, and shops, among others. After applying this haircut, we derived the market-value declines for
the nonresidential properties. Finally, we compared these numbers against the additional 15% market-value decline
that we would have applied if using our global RMBS criteria, and we took the higher of the two.
The table below shows the market-value declines we apply to all the nonresidential assets, including commercial and
land, including the 30% haircut.
Table 4
Nonresidential MVD Of The Retiro Mortgage Securities Pool
Rating level Final MVD (%)
AAA 65
AA 58
A 50
BBB 43
BB 38
B 34
MVD--Market-value declines.
Liquidity analysis (residential and nonresidential assets)
The other aspect of our NPL criteria is the recovery timing, i.e. when the recoveries will enter in the transaction.
Therefore, our analysis captures liquidity risk if the assets are not sold when expected according to the business plan.
We received historical data on recovery timing for both amicable and nonamicable solutions, and we compared them
against our assumptions in our global RMBS criteria. On average, the data from the servicer are slightly more
conservative.
To capture the transaction's liquidity risk, we looked at the historical numbers of sales in the Spanish market over the
past 15 years. During the global financial crisis--equivalent to a 'A' recession--the number of residential properties sold
in the Spanish market dropped by almost 50% (see "S&P Global Ratings Definitions," published on Jan. 5, 2021).
Therefore, our assumptions assume a delay of 50% of the business plans' collections in a 'A' scenario, that is recovered
after three years, which is the span of a recession according to our methodology, for three years. We have tested this
stress at day one and after three years, with the first being more conservative. We have sized our delay expectations at
all other ratings levels for both the residential and nonresidential assets accordingly.
Table 5
Percentage Of Assets Delayed
Rating level Residential (%) Nonresidential (%)
AAA 70 90
AA 60 80
A 50 70
BBB 40 60
BB 30 50
B 20 40
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Wind and Tag portfolios' business plan projects recoveries to be spread out, accounting for seasonal variations,
including a drop in collections during the first and the third quarter of each year (i.e. the holiday periods). The business
plan also assumes a peak in 2050, assuming a sale of the remaining performing loans that will not have defaulted by
then.
The business plan for Normandia and Tambo expects recoveries to come in within the next three years. This is
partially because most of the REO properties of the entire portfolio are in the Normandia subpool, and for this reason,
we expect a shorter weighted-average life of the assets.
Chart 7
While the mortgage lenders provide certain representations and warranties on the assets, we consider the overall
package of the representations and warranties provided, along with the mortgage lender's obligations in case of a
breach, to be weaker than what we typically see in transactions backed by performing collateral. Also, the indemnity
that the retention holder would need to pay if there is a breach is capped and can only be requested for a limited time
after closing. That said, the type of indemnity is overall similar to other NPL transactions. Additionally, in our view, the
level of stresses we have applied to the business plan mitigate a weak representation and warranties package in the
transaction.
Most of the audit report fields have been checked against the servicer's own system. However, as material fields like
the original valuation amount and the original valuation date have been checked against external appraisal reports and
showed a limited amount of errors, we have not increased our stresses in our credit analysis.
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Macroeconomic And Sector Outlook
S&P Global Ratings believes there remains high, albeit moderating, uncertainty about the evolution of the coronavirus
pandemic and its economic effects. Vaccine production is ramping up and rollouts are gathering pace around the
world. Widespread immunization, which will help pave the way for a return to more normal levels of social and
economic activity, looks to be achievable by most developed economies by the end of the third quarter. However,
some emerging markets may only be able to achieve widespread immunization by year-end or later. We use these
assumptions about vaccine timing in assessing the economic and credit implications associated with the pandemic (see
our research here: www.spglobal.com/ratings). As the situation evolves, we will update our assumptions and estimates
accordingly.
For Spain, our current expectations are described in the table below. We have considered these macroeconomic
forecasts when calibrating the credit risk in our analysis.
Table 6
Spanish Market Statistics
2019 2020E 2021F 2022F
Real GDP (% change) 2.0 (11.3) 6.5 6.4
Unemployment rate 14.1 15.9 17.6 16.4
Nominal house prices
2019 2020E 2021F 2022F
% change y/y 3.7 1.6 1.4 4.3
Sources: S&P Global Ratings, Oxford Economics Y/Y--Year on year. F--Forecast. E--Estimate.
Transaction Summary
The structure of Retiro Mortgage Securities is complex, as it involves Irish mortgage lenders, Spanish propcos, and
Luxemburg entities. The issuer is an Irish special-purpose entity (SPE), which we consider to be bankruptcy remote.
We analyzed its corporate structure in line with our legal criteria.
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Chart 8
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The mortgage lenders (Spanish Residential Opportunities DAC, Resdev Spanish Opportunities Debtco DAC,
Formentera Debt Holdings DAC, and Menorca Debt Holdings DAC, which own the NPL assets in Normandia, Tambo,
Wind, and Tag, respectively) are set up as a limited-purpose entities with restricted activities and are fully owned by
Luxemburg entities. However, to mitigate the risk of insolvency, all the mortgage lenders, at closing, had an
independent shareholders structure in place, with their shares pledged in favor of the issuer. We consider them to be
bankruptcy remote, and we analyzed their corporate structure in line with our legal criteria.
The propcos (Majoro REO subsidiaries, Resdev SO subsidiaries, Claysburg S.L.U., and Placerville S.L.U.) are also set
up as a limited-purpose entities with restricted activities and are fully owned directly or indirectly by the mortgage
lenders (except Claysburg S.L.U.; see "Claysburg S.L.U." section below). However, we did not consider them to be
bankruptcy remote in line with our legal criteria. In particular, the propcos did not create security over the properties
in favor of the issuer. Our analysis therefore considers the risk of insolvency of the propcos in the transaction. In our
view, this risk is mitigated in part by their restricted purpose covenants, the high percentage of residential properties,
and the insurance provided on all properties.
Transaction flow of funds
The notes' proceeds are used to grant four loans to each of the mortgage lenders, to top up the liquidity reserve funds,
and to pay initial expenses. The mortgage lenders repay this initial loan monthly through the mortgage lender priority
of payments, while the issuer priority of payments occurs quarterly.
The recoveries are collected in the mortgage lender collections accounts and the propco collections accounts. Two
business days before each mortgage lender payment date they are swept in the mortgage lender payment account. On
the 25th of each month, the mortgage lender payment date, the loan note is paid by the mortgage lenders, and the
collections move into the issuer account bank.
Loan agreement between the propco and the mortgage lender
During the life of the transaction, the propco will use the amounts of the propco working capital accounts to purchase
the properties and apply capex or opex to them where necessary. The propcos will have access to an uncommitted
facility from its related mortgage lender to top up the propco working capital account to its required level. This amount
will be drawn from the mortgage lender collections account, and if no funds are available, it can be funded through the
issuer available funds. Each of the mortgage lenders will also have access to the mortgage lenders working capital
accounts, which has similar utilization purpose and work with the same mechanism as described above.
The propco will repay this uncommitted facility in the following order:
The payment of taxes and servicer expenses;
Interest;
Principal; and
Excess amount.
The excess amount of collections will be transferred to the mortgage lender either through payment of dividends or a
loan from the propco to the mortgage lender. This loan can be granted only after the repayment of the loan from the
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mortgage lender to the propco. Each propco will decide on a case-by-case basis if it's more efficient to repay this extra
amount through dividends or through a loan. If paid through a loan, the mortgage lender will repay this loan according
to the mortgage lender priority of payments, but only after the repayment of the rated notes.
This structure ensures that collections don't remain in the propco collections account but are constantly transferred to
the mortgage lenders and then, ultimately, to the issuer.
Profit participation loan
The propcos will also benefit from a profit participation loan agreement from the mortgage lender. It might be used if
the propco's net equity falls below 50% of the share capital (the propco's total equity falls below half of the amount of
its share capital). According to the Spanish law, if this happens and it's not remedied within six months, it will
automatically start a liquidation process of the propco. This profit participating loan structure automatically allows this
to be remedied via a profit participating loan injection, allowing the propco to avoid dissolution. This profit
participating loan will be repaid from the propco only at maturity, increasing the risk of delay of repayment to the
mortgage lenders. However, this risk is mitigated through the excess amount loan described in the paragraph above,
which allows the propco to send cash flow to the mortgage lenders.
Mortgage lender priority of payment
Table 7
Mortgage Lender Priority Payment
1 Senior fees including tax and retained profit.
2 Servicer and master servicers expenses.
3 Any guarantee or indemnity payments to the mortgage lender noteholder (issuer).
4 Following the repayment of the rated notes, to pay interest, unpaid interest, and principal loan to the propco or propco
guarantor for the repayment of the propco loan to the mortgage lender.
5 Interest amounts (5% on the outstanding amount of the loan).
6 Loan notes amount (the amount outstanding cannot fall below €1,000).
7 Variable amounts.
The costs, including taxes, to run this type of structure are included in the mortgage lender priority of payments. The
loan amount has a floor of €1,000; therefore, the loan note cannot amortize before the rated notes, mitigating the risk
of payment disruption in the transaction. The loan note will have a maturity date of two years before the legal maturity
of the rated notes.
In our model we only run one priority of payment (the issuer one), and all the senior costs and expenses have been
sized senior in the waterfall.
Claysburg S.L.U.
Claysburg is the propco for the Wind subpool. Unlike the other propcos, it has additional features that we have
considered in our analysis. First, it's not owned directly or indirectly by a bankruptcy remote mortgage lender but by
Redwood Investments Holdings Iberia, S.L. This increases the risk of Claysburg's insolvency. To mitigate this risk, an
independent shareholder structure, similar to that in place for the mortgage lender, has also been implemented for
Claysburg.
Second, Claysburg is part of a VAT group, which Redwood Real Estate Spain S.L.U., the servicer, is also part of. There
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is a risk that Claysburg could become jointly and severally liable for other group companies' unpaid VAT obligations,
for example if one of the VAT group members became insolvent. We believe that this may increase Claysburg's risk of
insolvency by exposing it to potential claims from the Spanish tax authority unrelated to the securitized assets and
rated securities in this transaction. If Claysburg does not have the ability to pay these potential claims under the
transaction's structure, we believe this may increase the likelihood that it could be forced into insolvency proceedings.
Based on the historical exposure of Claysburg to the rest of the group's VAT, we believe the exposure is limited.
However, as the exposure can increase in the future, we have taken a conservative view, stressing five times the
current exposure as a loss in our cash flow analysis to mitigate this risk.
Ley de Cataluña
In our legal analysis, we have considered the potential effect of the Catalan Decree Law 17/2019, which is an
amendment of the existing law 24/2015. Under this law, large dwelling holders are obligated to offer social rent leases
for seven years prior to commencing foreclosure actions. We believe that this risk is partially mitigated based on the
lack of applications observed under both Law 24/2015 and 17/2019 on this portfolio and based on the conditions
which must be met. Additionally, in January 2021, the Spanish Constitutional Court declared unconstitutional some
provisions of the Decree-Law 17/2019, including some features of the expropriation scheme. Finally, the servicers
have experience in this kind of situation, which are also present in other Spanish regions, and have considered them in
the business plans. In our view, our current credit assumptions mitigate this type of risk and the exposure to this region
in this transaction.
Payment of interest
Our rating addresses the timely payment of interest and the ultimate payment of principal on the class A1 notes.
Additional note payment
After the additional note payment date in April 2024, the class A1 noteholders will be entitled to additional note
payments. However, our rating does not address the payment of class A1 additional note payment. In our view, the
initial coupons on the notes are not "de minimis," and nonpayment of the additional note payments are not considered
an event of default under the transaction documents.
Reserve fund
The liquidity reserve fund is available to cover senior fees and class A1 and A2 interest, and it has a required amount
of 5% of the class A balance. It can amortize in line with the class A outstanding balance, with no floor. This reserve
fund can be replenished from the issuer waterfall. Any excess amounts are released at the top of the combined
waterfall and can be used to pay down the notes.
Interest rate cap
The transaction benefits from an interest rate cap until the April 2026 note payment date, with a strike rate of 0.0% for
the first 36 months and 0.5% for the following 24 months. The interest cap provider should make payments to the
issuer to the extent that three-month EURIBOR will exceed the strike rate. The notional is a scheduled notional.
Coupon cap rate
Upon the interest rate cap's expiration, there will be a cap on the all-inclusive interest rate of the notes. As such, the
index will be capped at the coupon cap less margin less the additional note payment rate. We have accounted for it in
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our cash flow analysis.
Table 8
Issuer Payment priority
1 Senior fees and expenses (including the working capital accounts to their required amounts).
2 Class A1 and A2 interest pro rata.
3 Liquidity reserve fund top-up.
4 Class A1 principal.
5 Class A2 principal.
6 Class A1 and A2 additional note payment pro rata.
7 Class B interest.
8 Class B principal.
9 Class B additional note payment.
10 Class C interest.
11 Class C principal.
12 Class C additional note payment.
13 Class D1 interest.
14 Class D1 principal.
15 Class D2 interest.
16 Class D2 principal.
17 Class D3 interest.
18 Class D3 principal.
19 Swap subordinated amounts
20 Principal and excess amounts on the class E notes.
Item 1 of the above priority of payments also captures payments from the issuer to a replacement interest rate cap
provider in case collateral amounts posted, or termination payments payable by the outgoing interest rate cap
provider, are insufficient to cover the costs of replacement. As this item is senior in the waterfall, it may diminish the
issuer's ability to make payments on the notes. We do not typically see such an item explicitly listed senior in the
waterfall. However, we consider the related risk to be remote because firstly, under the cap documents, the outgoing
cap provider is responsible for covering the cost of replacement or finding a guarantor, which is in line with interest
cap agreements that we typically see for other transactions. Secondly, as a first instance, if the costs are not covered
by the outgoing cap provider, amounts posted as collateral will be used. Only if the available amounts are insufficient
can the issuer's funds be used to cover these amounts. Finally, the documents do not require the issuer to enter a new
interest rate cap agreement.
Portfolio sale
The mortgage lenders or the propcos can sell all (or part) of the portfolio to a third party as long as the proceeds from
the sale maximize profit and are at least in line with the most recent business plan. We have not added additional
stress in our analysis.
Cash flow modeling and analysis
We stress the transaction's cash flows to test the credit and liquidity support that the assets, subordinated tranches,
and reserves provide.
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We apply these stresses to the cash flows at all relevant rating levels. In our stresses, the class A1 notes must pay
timely payment of interest and ultimate payment of principal. We have applied our credit assumptions above in our
cash flow model. The business plan provided by the servicer is our starting point in the analysis.
Fees
Contractually, the mortgage lenders and the propcos are obliged to pay periodic fees to various parties providing
services to the transaction, such as the servicers and the master servicers. The issuer is obliged to pay periodic fees to
various parties providing services to the transaction such as trustees and cash managers, among others. We accounted
for these in our analysis, including tax, where required.
We have stressed all the fees embedded in the business plans. We have increased the weighted-average servicing fee
of the portfolio by 0.8% as a cost of replacement in case new servicers are appointed. We think this additional cost is
adequate based on the servicing fees we have seen in the Spanish market. We have also accounted for additional costs
that might be required for capex or opex.
Finally, we reduced the servicing fees and the costs that are linked to the recovery amounts (like brokers) of the
properties by the same percentage of the market-value declines described in the credit analysis.
Of the servicing and master servicing fees (excluding RTA fees), 50% can be repaid after the payment of the rated
notes if on each interest payment date, the cumulative gross recoveries are below 80% of the business plan. Even if we
see this structure as an incentive for the servicers to respect the business plan, in our view, this 50% delay might not be
attractive if a new servicer is appointed. In other NPL transactions we have seen similar structures but typically with a
lower amount deferred. Therefore, in our analysis we partially gave credit to this structure, and we have assumed that
only 20% is deferred.
Most of RTA's fees are based on an hourly rate, and this could increase the total RTA fees during the life of the
transaction. We compared RTA's historical fees against the business plan. As of March 2021, RTA's actual fees have
been lower than the business plan. However, to mitigate the risk in the future, we increased the RTA fee by almost
10% in our analysis. RTA's fee for Wind and Tag is also linked to inflation. Based on our expectations for CPI and the
fact that according to the business plan, RTA's fees are expected to decrease during the life of the transaction, we have
sized an extra €10,000 yearly fixed fee to mitigate this risk.
If the master servicers, the mortgage lenders, or the propcos decide to unilaterally terminate the servicing agreements,
a break fee will be paid to the servicers. The REO break fee will be paid to the servicers after the repayment of the
rated notes, therefore we have not sized them in our cash flow analysis. However, the loans break fees will be paid
when the contract is terminated. To mitigate this risk, we have sized an additional €1.25 million in our cash flow
analysis.
The issuer will be also entitled to receive the recoveries of unsecured loans from the four subpools. The unsecured
loans are not part of the business plan, and accordingly, we have not given credit to those recoveries. However, related
servicing fees will be paid annually up to a maximum of €80,000. We have sized this amount in our cash flow analysis.
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Interest rate scenarios
We have modeled three interest rate scenarios in our analysis: up, down, and forward curve.
Commingling risk
Recoveries are collected in the collection accounts held in the mortgage lenders' or propcos' name.
If the mortgage lenders or the propcos were to become insolvent, the collection amounts in the collection account
may become part of their bankruptcy estate. To mitigate this risk, collections are transferred monthly into the issuer's
bank account, and a pledge in favor of the issuer is in place over the collection account. The transaction documents
contain replacement language in line with our counterparty criteria.
Although we believe that the combination of downgrade language and the pledge mitigates against the loss of
collections if there is an insolvency, we have considered that collections could be delayed in an insolvency. We have
therefore applied a liquidity stress in which we delay one month of collections recovered after one year.
Scenario analysis
We analyzed the effect of a moderate stress on our market-value declines and liquidity assumptions and its ultimate
effect on our rating on the notes. We ran two stress scenarios adding 10% and 20% additional stresses to our market
value decline and liquidity assumptions to demonstrate the rating transition of a note, and the results are in line with
our credit stability criteria.
Counterparty Risk
The issuer is exposed to Citibank Europe PLC as the transaction accounts provider; Citibank Europe PLC as mortgage
lender payment account provider; BBVA S.A., Banco Santander S.A., and Caixa Bank S.A. as the mortgage lenders' and
propcos' collection account provider; and BNP Paribas S.A. as interest rate cap provider (see table below). The
documented replacement mechanisms mitigate the transaction's exposure to counterparty risk for the assigned rating
in line with our counterparty criteria.
Table 9
Supporting Ratings
Institution/role
Current counterparty
rating
Minimum eligible
counterparty rating
Remedy period
(calendar days)
Maximum
supported rating
Citibank Europe PLC, as mortgage
lender payment account
A+/Stable/A-1 BBB- 30 Max (A-; ICR (A+))
BBVA S.A. as collection account
provider
A-/Negative/A-2 BBB- 30 Max (A-; ICR (A-))
Banco Santander S.A. as collection
account provider
A/Negative/A-1 BBB- 30 Max (A-; ICR (A))
Caixa Bank S.A. as collection account
provider
BBB+/Stable/A-2 BBB- 30 Max (A-; ICR
(BBB+))
Citibank Europe PLC as transaction
accounts provider
A+/Stable/A-1 BBB- 30 Max (A-; ICR (A+))
BNP Paribas S.A. as interest rate cap
provider
AA-/--/A-1+ BBB- 90 Max (BBB-; RCR
(AA-))
ICR--Issuer credit rating. RCR--Resolution credit rating.
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Sovereign Risk
Our unsolicited long-term credit rating on Spain is 'A', and we assess the underlying assets' sensitivity to sovereign risk
as moderate. This enables the notes to achieve a maximum potential rating of up to 'AA+' if they can pass our 'A' cash
flow run addressing a sovereign default scenario. The notes are rated below the sovereign rating. Therefore, our rating
in this transaction is not constrained by our structured finance sovereign risk criteria.
Surveillance
We will maintain surveillance on the transaction until the notes mature or are otherwise retired. To do this, we will
analyze regular servicer reports detailing the performance of the underlying collateral, monitor supporting ratings, and
make regular contact with the servicer to ensure that it maintains minimum servicing standards and that any material
changes in the servicer's operations are communicated and assessed.
Appendix
Transaction Participants
Role Participant
Issuer Retiro Mortgage Securities DAC
Mortgage lenders Formentera Debt Holdings DAC, Menorca Debt Holdings DAC, Spanish Residential
Opportunities DAC, and Resdev Spanish Opportunities DAC
Master servicers Redwood MS Ltd. and Vicasset Holdings LLC
Loan servicers RTA Management Gestion Integral de Activos S.L. and Vicasset Holdings LLC
REO servicers Redwood Real Estate Spain S.L.U. and Vicasset Holdings LLC
Legal advisers to mortgage lenders, propco,
and issuer
Dentons UK and Middle East LLP
Legal advisers to the arranger Linklaters LLP
Legal advisers to the trustee Linklaters LLP
Legal advisers to mortgage lenders, propco,
and issuer (Irish law)
Arthur Cox LLP
Legal advisers to the arranger (Irish law) A&L Goodbody International Financial Services Centre
Retention holder OCM Luxembourg OPPS X S.à r.l.
Trustee Citicorp Trustee Co. Ltd.
Arranger and lead manager Morgan Stanley & Co. International PLC
Principal paying agent and reference agent Citibank N.A., London Branch
Registrar Citigroup Global Markets Europe AG
Cash manager Citibank N.A. London Branch
Related Criteria
Criteria | Structured Finance | General: Global Framework For Payment Structure And Cash Flow Analysis Of
Structured Finance Securities, Dec. 22, 2020
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Criteria | Structured Finance | General: Methodology To Derive Stressed Interest Rates In Structured Finance, Oct.
18, 2019
Criteria | Structured Finance | General: Counterparty Risk Framework: Methodology And Assumptions, March 8,
2019
Criteria | Structured Finance | General: Incorporating Sovereign Risk In Rating Structured Finance Securities:
Methodology And Assumptions, Jan. 30, 2019
Criteria | Structured Finance | RMBS: Global Methodology And Assumptions: Assessing Pools Of Residential
Loans, Jan. 25, 2019
Legal Criteria: Structured Finance: Asset Isolation And Special-Purpose Entity Methodology, March 29, 2017
Criteria | Structured Finance | General: Global Framework For Assessing Securitizations Of Nonperforming Loans,
Sept. 7, 2016
Criteria | Structured Finance | General: Global Framework For Assessing Operational Risk In Structured Finance
Transactions, Oct. 9, 2014
Criteria | Structured Finance | General: Global Derivative Agreement Criteria, June 24, 2013
Criteria | Structured Finance | CMBS: European CMBS Methodology And Assumptions, Nov. 7, 2012
General Criteria: Global Investment Criteria For Temporary Investments In Transaction Accounts, May 31, 2012
General Criteria: Principles Of Credit Ratings, Feb. 16, 2011
Related Research
Spain 'A/A-1' Ratings Affirmed; Outlook Remains Negative On Fiscal And Structural Challenges, March 19, 2021
Europe's Housing Market Will Chill In 2021 As Pent-Up Pandemic Demand Eases, Feb. 22, 2021
S&P Global Ratings Definitions, Jan. 5, 2021
Economic Research: European Economic Snapshots: Policy Is Keeping The Impact Of The Second COVID Wave At
Bay, Dec. 16 2020
Sovereign Risk Indicators, Dec. 14, 2020
Reports Discuss How COVID-19 Could Affect European Structured Finance, March 30, 2020
2017 EMEA RMBS Scenario And Sensitivity Analysis, July 6, 2017
Global Structured Finance Scenario And Sensitivity Analysis 2016: The Effects Of The Top Five Macroeconomic
Factors, Dec. 16, 2016
European Structured Finance Scenario And Sensitivity Analysis 2016: The Effects Of The Top Five Macroeconomic
Factors, Dec. 16, 2016
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